2023 Oscars Predictions – Who Will Win, Who Should Win


Well, it’s Oscars eve… and like last year, I’m down to the wire in getting my predictions as I was preoccupied the last two days. But hey, it’s still Saturday night where I am and there are about 20 hours left until those Oscars envelopes are opened.

This year I have actually managed to see nine out of the ten nominees. The one I haven’t seen is All Quiet on the Western Front as I just can’t handle gory war films (yep, I also have NOT seen Saving Private Ryan). In years past, not having seen ALL the nominees hasn’t stopped me from making predictions, so what should that change this year, ahah. Also, in case you’re wondering, these predictions are based on gut instinct, so not exactly scientifically based. The SHOULD WIN category is the one I’m rooting for this year (except for in categories where I have not seen ANY of the nominated films).

In any case, here we go:

1. Best Picture

  1. “All Quiet on the Western Front,” Malte Grunert, Producer
  2. “Avatar: The Way of Water,” James Cameron and Jon Landau, Producers
  3. “The Banshees of Inisherin,” Graham Broadbent, Pete Czernin and Martin McDonagh, Producers
  4. “Elvis,” Baz Luhrmann, Catherine Martin, Gail Berman, Patrick McCormick and Schuyler Weiss, Producers
  5. “Everything Everywhere All at Once,” Daniel Kwan, Daniel Scheinert and Jonathan Wang, Producers
  6. “The Fabelmans,” Kristie Macosko Krieger, Steven Spielberg and Tony Kushner, Producers
  7. “Tár,” Todd Field, Alexandra Milchan and Scott Lambert, Producers
  8. “Top Gun: Maverick,” Tom Cruise, Christopher McQuarrie, David Ellison and Jerry Bruckheimer, Producers
  9. “Triangle of Sadness,” Erik Hemmendorff and Philippe Bober, Producers
  10. “Women Talking,” Dede Gardner, Jeremy Kleiner and Frances McDormand, Producers

WHO WILL WIN: Everything Everywhere All at Once
WHO SHOULD WIN: Everything Everywhere All at Once

2. Best Director 

  • Martin McDonagh (“The Banshees of Inisherin”)
  • Daniel Kwan, Daniel Scheinert (“Everything Everywhere All at Once”)
  • Steven Spielberg (“The Fabelmans”)
  • Todd Field (“Tár”)
  • Ruben Östlund (“Triangle of Sadness”)

WHO WILL WIN: Daniel Kwan, Daniel Scheinert
WHO SHOULD WIN: Daniel Kwan, Daniel Scheinert

3. Best Lead Actor

  • Austin Butler (“Elvis”)
  • Colin Farrell (“The Banshees of Inisherin”)
  • Brendan Fraser (“The Whale”)
  • Paul Mescal (“Aftersun”)
  • Bill Nighy (“Living”)

WHO WILL WIN: Brendan Fraser
WHO SHOULD WIN: Austin Butler

4. Best Lead Actress

  • Cate Blanchett (“Tár”)
  • Ana de Armas (“Blonde”)
  • Andrea Riseborough (“To Leslie”)
  • Michelle Williams (“The Fabelmans”)
  • Michelle Yeoh (“Everything Everywhere All at Once”)

WHO WILL WIN: Michelle Yeoh
WHO SHOULD WIN: Michelle Yeoh

5. Best Supporting Actor

  • Brendan Gleeson (“The Banshees of Inisherin”)
  • Brian Tyree Henry (“Causeway”)
  • Judd Hirsch (“The Fabelmans”)
  • Barry Keoghan (“The Banshees of Inisherin”)
  • Ke Huy Quan (“Everything Everywhere All at Once”)


6. Best Supporting Actress

  • Angela Bassett (“Black Panther: Wakanda Forever”)
  • Hong Chau (“The Whale”)
  • Kerry Condon (“The Banshees of Inisherin”)
  • Jamie Lee Curtis (“Everything Everywhere All at Once”)
  • Stephanie Hsu (“Everything Everywhere All at Once”)

WHO WILL WIN: Jamie Lee Curtis
WHO SHOULD WIN: Angela Bassett

7. Best Adapted Screenplay

  • “All Quiet on the Western Front,” Screenplay by Edward Berger, Lesley Paterson & Ian Stokell
  • “Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery,” Written by Rian Johnson
  • “Living,” Written by Kazuo Ishiguro
  • “Top Gun: Maverick,” Screenplay by Ehren Kruger and Eric Warren Singer and Christopher McQuarrie; Story by Peter Craig and Justin Marks
  • “Women Talking,” Screenplay by Sarah Polley

WHO WILL WIN: Women Talking
WHO SHOULD WIN: Women Talking

8. Best Original Screenplay

  • “The Banshees of Inisherin,” Written by Martin McDonagh
  • “Everything Everywhere All at Once,” Written by Daniel Kwan & Daniel Scheinert
  • “The Fabelmans,” Written by Steven Spielberg & Tony Kushner
  • “Tár,” Written by Todd Field
  • “Triangle of Sadness,” Written by Ruben Östlund

WHO WILL WIN: Everything Everywhere All At Once
WHO SHOULD WIN: Everything Everywhere All At Once

9. Best Cinematography 

  • “All Quiet on the Western Front”, James Friend
  • “Bardo, False Chronicle of a Handful of Truths,” Darius Khondji
  • “Elvis,” Mandy Walker
  • “Empire of Light,” Roger Deakins
  • “Tár,” Florian Hoffmeister

WHO WILL WIN: All Quiet On The Western Front

10. Best Documentary Feature Film 

  • “All That Breathes,” Shaunak Sen, Aman Mann and Teddy Leifer
  • “All the Beauty and the Bloodshed,” Laura Poitras, Howard Gertler, John Lyons, Nan Goldin and Yoni Golijov
  • “Fire of Love,” Sara Dosa, Shane Boris and Ina Fichman
  • “A House Made of Splinters,” Simon Lereng Wilmont and Monica Hellström
  • “Navalny,” Daniel Roher, Odessa Rae, Diane Becker, Melanie Miller and Shane Boris


11. Best Documentary Short Film 

  • “The Elephant Whisperers,” Kartiki Gonsalves and Guneet Monga
  • “Haulout,” Evgenia Arbugaeva and Maxim Arbugaev
  • “How Do You Measure a Year?” Jay Rosenblatt
  • “The Martha Mitchell Effect,” Anne Alvergue and Beth Levison
  • “Stranger at the Gate,” Joshua Seftel and Conall Jones

WHO WILL WIN: Stranger At The Gate

12. Best Film Editing

  • “The Banshees of Inisherin,” Mikkel E.G. Nielsen
  • “Elvis,” Matt Villa and Jonathan Redmond
  • “Everything Everywhere All at Once,” Paul Rogers
  • “Tár,” Monika Willi
  • “Top Gun: Maverick,” Eddie Hamilton

WHO WILL WIN: Top Gun: Maverick
WHO SHOULD WIN: Top Gun: Maverick

13. Best International Feature Film 

  • “All Quiet on the Western Front” (Germany)
  • “Argentina, 1985” (Argentina)
  • “Close” (Belgium)
  • “EO” (Poland)
  • “The Quiet Girl” (Ireland)

WHO WILL WIN: All Quiet On The Western Front

14. Best Original Score

  • “All Quiet on the Western Front,” Volker Bertelmann
  • “Babylon,” Justin Hurwitz
  • “The Banshees of Inisherin,” Carter Burwell
  • “Everything Everywhere All at Once,” Son Lux
  • “The Fabelmans,” John Williams

WHO WILL WIN: The Fabelmans
WHO SHOULD WIN: All Quiet on the Western Front 

15. Best Original Song 

  • “Applause” from “Tell It Like a Woman,” Music and Lyric by Diane Warren
  • “Hold My Hand” from “Top Gun: Maverick,” Music and Lyric by Lady Gaga and BloodPop
  • “Lift Me Up” from “Black Panther: Wakanda Forever,” Music by Tems, Rihanna, Ryan Coogler and Ludwig Goransson; Lyric by Tems and Ryan Coogler
  • “Naatu Naatu” from “RRR,” Music by M.M. Keeravaani; Lyric by Chandrabose
  • “This Is a Life” from “Everything Everywhere All at Once,” Music by Ryan Lott, David Byrne and Mitski; Lyric by Ryan Lott and David Byrne


16. Best Production Design 

  • “All Quiet on the Western Front,” Production Design: Christian M. Goldbeck; Set Decoration: Ernestine Hipper
  • “Avatar: The Way of Water,” Production Design: Dylan Cole and Ben Procter; Set Decoration: Vanessa Cole
  • “Babylon,” Production Design: Florencia Martin; Set Decoration: Anthony Carlino
  • “Elvis,” Production Design: Catherine Martin and Karen Murphy; Set Decoration: Bev Dunn
  • “The Fabelmans,” Production Design: Rick Carter; Set Decoration: Karen O’Hara


17. Best Visual Effects

  • “All Quiet on the Western Front,” Frank Petzold, Viktor Müller, Markus Frank and Kamil Jafar
  • “Avatar: The Way of Water,” Joe Letteri, Richard Baneham, Eric Saindon and Daniel Barrett
  • “The Batman,” Dan Lemmon, Russell Earl, Anders Langlands and Dominic Tuohy
  • “Black Panther: Wakanda Forever,” Geoffrey Baumann, Craig Hammack, R. Christopher White and Dan Sudick
  • “Top Gun: Maverick,” Ryan Tudhope, Seth Hill, Bryan Litson and Scott R. Fisher

WHO WILL WIN: Avatar: The Way Of Water
WHO SHOULD WIN: Avatar: The Way Of Water

18. Best Animated Feature Film 

  • “Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio,” Guillermo del Toro, Mark Gustafson, Gary Ungar and Alex Bulkley
  • “Marcel the Shell With Shoes On,” Dean Fleischer Camp, Elisabeth Holm, Andrew Goldman, Caroline Kaplan and Paul Mezey
  • “Puss in Boots: The Last Wish,” Joel Crawford and Mark Swift
  • “The Sea Beast,” Chris Williams and Jed Schlanger
  • “Turning Red,” Domee Shi and Lindsey Collins

WHO WILL WIN: Pinnocchio
WHO SHOULD WIN: Pinnocchio

19. Best Costume Design 

  • “Babylon,” Mary Zophres
  • “Black Panther: Wakanda Forever,” Ruth Carter
  • “Elvis,” Catherine Martin
  • “Everything Everywhere All at Once,” Shirley Kurata
  • “Mrs. Harris Goes to Paris,” Jenny Beavan

WHO WILL WIN: Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
WHO SHOULD WIN: Black Panther: Wakanda Forever

20. Best Live Action Short

  • “An Irish Goodbye,” Tom Berkeley and Ross White
  • “Ivalu,” Anders Walter and Rebecca Pruzan
  • “Le Pupille,” Alice Rohrwacher and Alfonso Cuarón
  • “Night Ride,” Eirik Tveiten and Gaute Lid Larssen
  • “The Red Suitcase,” Cyrus Neshvad

WHO WILL WIN: Le Pupille

21. Best Makeup and Hairstyling 

  • “All Quiet on the Western Front,” Heike Merker and Linda Eisenhamerová
  • “The Batman,” Naomi Donne, Mike Marino and Mike Fontaine
  • “Black Panther: Wakanda Forever,” Camille Friend and Joel Harlow
  • “Elvis,” Mark Coulier, Jason Baird and Aldo Signoretti

WHO WILL WIN: Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
WHO SHOULD WIN: Black Panther: Wakanda Forever

Ok let’s see how many I get right tomorrow night. HAPPY OSCAR SUNDAY, everyone!!

17 thoughts on “2023 Oscars Predictions – Who Will Win, Who Should Win

  1. I’m going to finally watch Women Talking… NOT WOMEN ARE TALKING MARKY MARK YOU STUPID FUCK! Tomorrow on Amazon Prime (thank goodness) as I will watch the Oscars as I just hope they pick the right winners and let’s fucking hope Diane Warren never wins and hopefully never gets nominated. Let’s also hope it isn’t another disaster like last year in what Willy-Will did though…. John Travolta as a presenter… again…. *facepalm*

    1. Ahahahah, I’m still baffled why Marky Mark presents the award for WOMEN TALKING!!

      I still have not listened to that Diane Warren song and so I hope either Rihanna’s or Lady Gaga’s song would win. I’m curious what shenanigans are in store for us tonight!

      1. I saw Women Talking and… I thought it was great. While I prefer that film over EEAAO, I still think EEAAO deserved Best Picture but I was happy for Sarah Polley getting her Oscar. That song by Diane Warren…. please. Never have her at the Oscars ever again and… ban John Travolta from the Oscars… 4 life!

        1. I prefer WOMEN TALKING over EEAAO too and this coming from an Asian critic, ahah! I’m thrilled they recognized Sarah Polley, though she deserves to have been a nominee in the Best Director category too!

    1. Hi there! I usually try to see all of the nominees but I can’t bring myself to see something so gory. Even reading the descriptions from some reviews scare me, ahah. Happy Oscar watching!

  2. I somehow thought the Oscars already aired. Since I only saw two films that were nominated, Avatar 2 and Top Gun 2, I don’t have any opinions on the nominations. I do hope we there will be some sort of “controversies” just like last year’s “Slap”, so it will be fun for me to read about. Lol!

    1. Ahahaha, you’re right that the shenanigans actually made the show less boring. We’ll see what’ll be in store for tonight, I just hope it won’t run too long!

  3. I suspect you are spot on with your who will/should win. I’m not too excited this year. I feel after BAFTA and SAG awards, this event has become anti-climatic.
    What would be amazing is if there were absolute surprises.
    Have fun!

    1. Oh I don’t know if my picks are spot on… and I’m up for surprises as it makes watching and blogging about it more fun 😀 Happy Oscar Sunday, Cindy!

  4. rockerdad

    I would rather read your recap than watch the ceremony as I predict FlixChatter is more rational than the academy haha!

    1. Mwahahaha!! Well, the Oscars is my Super Bowl so I feel compelled to watch even if I don’t always agree w/ their nominations/winners. I’m still fuming over this one racist Oscar voter who were so disrespectful to Gina Prince-Bythewood and Viola Davis saying they don’t deserve to be nominated, though he hasn’t even SEEN The Woman King!

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  6. Pingback: 2023 Oscars Predictions – Who Will Win, Who Ought to Win – FLIXCHATTER FILM BLOG – Ykine

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