Ok so it’s one day before Oscars telecast tomorrow night, so I’m obviously kinda late to the party, but what the heck. I suppose, before those envelopes are opened, it’s still fair game, right?
I actually haven’t seen ALL of the nominees, but hey, that hasn’t stopped me from making predictions in years past, so it’s not going to stop me this year, either 🙂 Also, in case you’re wondering, this prediction is based on gut instinct, so not exactly scientifically based. The SHOULD WIN category is who I would like to win, as in the one I’m rooting for this year (except for in categories where I have not seen ANY of the nominated films).
In any case, here we go:
Best Picture
The Father
Judas and the Black Messiah
Mank
Minari
Nomadland
Promising Young Woman
Sound of Metal
The Trial of the Chicago 7
WHO WILL WIN: Nomadland
WHO SHOULD WIN: Nomadland
Best Director
Lee Isaac Chung, Minari
Emerald Fennell, Promising Young Woman
David Fincher, Mank
Chloé Zhao, Nomadland
Thomas Vinterberg, Another Round
WHO WILL WIN: Chloé Zhao
WHO SHOULD WIN: Chloé Zhao
Best Actor
Riz Ahmed, Sound of Metal
Chadwick Boseman, Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom
Anthony Hopkins, The Father
Gary Oldman, Mank
Steven Yeun, Minari
WHO WILL WIN: Chadwick Boseman
WHO SHOULD WIN: Chadwick Boseman
Best Actress
Viola Davis, Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom
Andra Day, The United States vs. Billie Holiday
Vanessa Kirby, Pieces of a Woman
Frances McDormand, Nomadland
Carey Mulligan, Promising Young Woman
WHO WILL WIN: Carey Mulligan
WHO SHOULD WIN: Viola Davis
Best Supporting Actor
Sacha Baron Cohen, The Trial of the Chicago 7
Daniel Kaluuya, Judas and the Black Messiah
Leslie Odom Jr., One Night in Miami…
Paul Raci, Sound of Metal
LaKeith Stanfield, Judas and the Black Messiah
WHO WILL WIN: Daniel Kaluuya
WHO SHOULD WIN: Paul Raci
Best Supporting Actress
Maria Bakalova, Borat Subsequent Moviefilm
Glenn Close, Hillbilly Elegy
Olivia Colman, The Father
Amanda Seyfried, Mank
Yuh-Jung Youn, Minari
WHO WILL WIN: Yuh-Jung Youn
WHO SHOULD WIN: Olivia Colman
Best Original Song
“Husavik (My Hometown),” Eurovision Song Contest: The Story of Fire Saga
“Fight for You,” Judas and the Black Messiah
“Io Se (Seen),” The Life Ahead
“Speak Now,” One Night in Miami…
“Hear My Voice,” The Trial of the Chicago 7
WHO WILL WIN: Speak Now
WHO SHOULD WIN: Io Se (Seen)
Best Original Score
Da 5 Bloods
Mank
Minari
News of the World
Soul
WHO WILL WIN: Soul
WHO SHOULD WIN: Soul
Best Cinematography
Judas and the Black Messiah
Mank
News of the World
Nomadland
The Trial of the Chicago 7
WHO WILL WIN: Nomadland
WHO SHOULD WIN: Nomadland
Best Adapted Screenplay
Borat Subsequent Moviefilm
The Father
Nomadland
One Night in Miami…
The White Tiger
WHO WILL WIN: Nomadland
WHO SHOULD WIN: One Night In Miami
Best Original Screenplay
Judas and the Black Messiah
Minari
Promising Young Woman
Sound of Metal
The Trial of the Chicago 7
WHO WILL WIN: Promising Young Woman
WHO SHOULD WIN: Sound of Metal
Best Animated Feature
Onward
Over the Moon
A Shaun the Sheep Movie: Farmageddon
Soul
Wolfwalkers
WHO WILL WIN: Soul
WHO SHOULD WIN: Wolfwalkers
Best Documentary Short Subject
Colette
A Concerto is a Conversation
Do Not Split
Hunger Ward
A Love Song For Latasha
WHO WILL WIN: A Love Song for Latasha
Best Documentary Feature
Collective
Crip Camp
The Mole Agent
My Octopus Teacher
Time
WHO WILL WIN: My Octopus Teacher
Best International Feature
Another Round
Better Days
Collective
The Man Who Sold His Skin
Quo Vadis, Aida?
WHO WILL WIN: Another Round
Best Film Editing
The Father
Nomadland
Promising Young Woman
Sound of Metal
The Trial of the Chicago 7
WHO WILL WIN: Nomadland
WHO SHOULD WIN: Nomadland
Best Costume Design
Emma
Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom
Mank
Mulan
Pinocchio
WHO WILL WIN: Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom
WHO SHOULD WIN: Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom
Best Hair and Makeup
Emma
Hillbilly Elegy
Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom
Mank
Pinocchio
WHO WILL WIN: Mank
WHO SHOULD WIN: Mank
Best Production Design
The Father
Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom
Mank
News of the World
Tenet
WHO WILL WIN: Mank
WHO SHOULD WIN: The Father
Best Visual Effects
Love and Monsters
The Midnight Sky
Mulan
The One and Only Ivan
Tenet
WHO WILL WIN: Tenet
WHO SHOULD WIN: Tenet
Best Sound
Greyhound
Mank
News of the World
Soul
Sound of Metal
WHO WILL WIN: Sound Of Metal
WHO SHOULD WIN: Sound Of Metal
Best Animated Short Film
“Burrow”
“Genius Loci”
“If Anything Happens I Love You”
“Opera”
WHO WILL WIN: If Anything Happens I Love You
Best Live Action Short Film
“Feeling Through”
“The Letter Room”
“The Present”
“Two Distant Strangers”
“White Eye”
FLIXCHATTER FILM BLOG 
Having seen little of the nominees, there’s only 2 things I want to see. Another win for NIN and for Glenn Close to lose…. again.
At least Close can sigh a relief for not winning a Razzie as she lost to Maddie Ziegler for that awful film Music that also gave Kate Hudson and SIA awards for Worst Actress and Worst Director respectively. Ziegler gets a pass because she was new to acting and didn’t know what SIA wants. Hudson and SIA however… they should never do films ever again and having just watched The Falcon and the Winter Soldier…. I can see now that her half-brother is clearly a way better actor than her.
Ahah, I kinda feel bad for Glenn Close now, though I haven’t seen Hilbilly Elegy nor would I watch it anytime soon.
I didn’t realize she was nominated for a Razzie! I think only a few people who are nominated for Oscar AND Razzie at the same time right? Did Sandra Bullock get the ‘honor’ a few years ago??
Yeah, I’m quite impressed w/ Wyatt Russell as a character I love to hate in TFATWS. He seems like a nice guy in interviews too!
Yes, a decade ago as she won an Oscar for The Blind Side and before that, won a Razzie for All About Steve.
I remember her being a good sport and actually came to Razzie ceremony w/ a bunch of All About Steve dvds 😀
And like Halle Berry, she can accept the fact that she made a shitty-ass film.
I haven’t seen everything either, but these look like good picks. I have two ballots because I’m really not sure about Adapted Screenplay and a couple of the others. I think ANOTHER ROUND is a lock precisely because it depicted actions that people couldn’t do! Good luck, Ruth!
I actually just saw ANOTHER ROUND last night and it’s really good! I thought Mads’ performance was Oscar worthy as well. So which film/actor are you rooting for this year, Paula?
I was so hoping that BAFTA would go against the tide and pick Wolfwalkers but it didn’t happen. I guess it has no hope now for tonight but it can’t stop me dreaming!
I was wondering that since Wolfwalkers’ theme is an allegory of resistance to British occupation in Ireland, perhaps that kinda puts off the Brits? If that’s the case, that’s too bad as it displays such an amazing artistry.
Just like every year, I’m so out of the loop when it comes to Oscars. Since I only saw one movie from the best picture nominations, I don’t have much opinion about any of these actors that got nominated.
On the best visual effects category, I hope The Midnight Sky will win over Tenet. I’m not saying that Tenet didn’t look great but I want it to win out of spite. I really despise Nolan’s ego trip film. Lol!
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