Counting down to Oscar 2010: FlixChatter’s Predictions

Hello folks, just a day away until the biggest movie event of the year! Normally I don’t even bother to ponder much about this event until 6pm Sunday night when I actually sit down on my couch and watch the festivities. But as this is the first year I observe award season as a movie blogger, I thought it might be fun to join in the Oscar prediction game, even if it’s just to see how my picks stack up (or how far off they’ll be) come tomorrow night. I know I said in my Oscar musings post last month that I wasn’t going to do my predictions, and that I was hoping to see all the nominated flix. Well, as of tonight, I’ve only seen seven out of the 10 Best Picture noms, but I’ve read quite a bit about all of the movies – as well as the actors – nominated to hopefully make an educated guess 😉

Below are ten categories I’m taking part in, and the one in bold are my predictions, which aren’t necessarily the ones I’m rooting to win:

1. Best Picture

  • Avatar
  • The Blind Side
  • District 9
  • An Education
  • The Hurt Locker
  • Inglourious Basterds
  • Precious
  • A Serious Man
  • Up
  • Up in the Air

I’m rooting for: Inglourious Basterdsa masterpiece-level of work for a director I normally am not a huge fan of, but this film truly exceeds my expectation in many levels that it actually knocked District 9 out of my fave released last year. I really enjoyed Avatar, but the weak script/dialog makes me think it doesn’t deserve to win Best Picture. As I’ve said before about The Hurt Locker, I thought it was a decent movie but not exactly a groundbreaking film. At the same time, I won’t be fuming if it indeed win as Kathryn Bigelow would be making history as the first female director to take home a Best Picture Oscar out of four that have ever been nominated in 81 years. It remains to be seen if the recent controversies surrounding the film will hurt its Oscar chances or not.

2. Best Director

  • James Cameron (Avatar)
  • Kathryn Bigelow  (The Hurt Locker)
  • Quentin Tarantino (Inglourious Basterds)
  • Lee Daniels (Precious)
  • Jason Reitman (Up In The Air)

I’m rooting for: Quentin Tarantino – that’s just how highly I thought of Basterds. But Cameron comes close as his extraordinary vision and decade-long of hard work making Avatar is really something to be admired.

3. Best Actor

  • Jeff Bridges (Crazy Heart)
  • George Clooney (Up in the Air)
  • Colin Firth (A Single Man)
  • Morgan Freeman (Invictus)
  • Jeremy Renner (The Hurt Locker)

I’m rooting for: Jeff Bridges – I’m not terribly impressed with the two performances I’ve seen (Clooney and Renner), and though I have not seen Crazy Heart, I think Bridges is a fine actor who’s been nominated five times. It’d be great to see him gets his dues.

4. Best Actress

  • Sandra Bullock (The Blind Side)
  • Helen Mirren (The Last Station)
  • Carey Mulligan (An Education)
  • Gabourey Sidibe (Precious)
  • Meryl Streep (Julie and Julia)

I’m rooting for: Bullock & Streep (tie) Ok, this is a tough one because I’ve only seen both of their performances out of the five, and it’s probably going to come down to these two. Bullock played against type and delivered a compelling performance in The Blindside, but Streep was also phenomenal as Julia Child. But if I have to absolutely choose, I’d go with Bullock as Streep has her two Oscars and we’ve probably seen equally great performance – if not better – out of her before this one.

5. Best Supporting Actor

  • Matt Damon (Invictus)
  • Woody Harrelson (The Messenger)
  • Christopher Plummer (The Last Station)
  • Stanley Tucci (The Lovely Bones)
  • Christoph Waltz (Inglourious Basterds)

I’m rooting for: Christoph Waltz hands down. He’s really one of the major factors why the movie works, and the fact that he’s swept off every other award this year is an indication. I am tickled pink to see Christopher Plummer being singled out here though, we know this hard-working actor has done amazing work in the past. I can’t believe he’s been in 180 projects (movies & TV), though I’ll always remember him as Capt. Von Trapp.

6. Best Supporting Actress

  • Penelope Cruz (Nine)
  • Vera Farmiga (Up in the Air)
  • Maggie Gyllenhaal (Crazy Heart)
  • Anna Kendrick (Up in the Air)
  • Mo’Nique (Precious)
I’m rooting for: Mo’Nique Though I have not seen her performance (other than from the trailers), I’m basing my opinion on what I’ve read about it. Sounds like her terrifying portrayal of an abusive single mother is really buzz-worthy. Besides, out of the two performances I have seen, I don’t think I can pick between the equally-compelling work of Farmiga and Kendrik. Both actresses impressed me (I’d even say they earn their noms more so than Clooney did).
….
7. Best Original Screenplay
  • Quentin Tarantino (Inglourious Basterds)
  • Mark Boal (The Hurt Locker)
  • Pete Docter and Bob Peterson  (Up)
  • Oren Moverman and Alessandro Camon  (The Messenger)
  • Joel and Ethan Coen  (A Serious Man)

I’m rooting for: Inglourious Basterds

8. Best Adapted Screenplay

  • Nick Hornby (An Education)
  • Neill Blomkamp and Terri Tatchell  (District 9)
  • Jesse Armstrong and Armando Iannucci  (In The Loop)
  • Geoffrey Fletcher – (Precious)
  • Jason Reitman and Sheldon Turner – (Up in the Air)

I’m rooting for: District 9I love this movie for its unusual plot, it’s definitely not a run-of-the-mill alien storyline delivered in such a fresh way. If they win this, it’d make up for Sharlto Copley not being nominated despite his noteworthy performance in his debut film.

9. Best Art Direction

  • Avatar
  • The Imaginarium of Doctor Parnassus
  • Sherlock Holmes
  • The Young Victoria
  • Nine
I’m rooting for: Avatar
10. Best Visual Effects
  • Avatar
  • District 9
  • Star Trek
I’m rooting for: Avatar

Ok folks, care to share your predictions? Anyway, stay tuned for my Oscar highlights post Monday morning like I did for the Golden Globes.